The Midterm Election
Every decision in government will be measured by how it will affect the midterm election. Most media reporting will follow the same thought pattern.
The election results will be that Republicans gain a very small margin of control over both the House and Senate.
The Biden administration will go all out to obtain maximum sentences against anyone directly involved in “the insurrection”. The media will make this front and center of every news report. The purpose is to affect the elections, by tying up time and resources of the strongest Trump supporters. Trump supporters will be deterred from donating to or publicly supporting candidates which align with Trump due to fear of being investigated as an “insurrectionist”. This is also designed to intimidate other Trump supporters. It will fail with the populace. Trump supporters will continue to support Trump and his supporters in Congress, but they will be much less public about it.
Candidates will be cautious. Some will continue to align with Trump publicly. Most will move to an anti-Biden, pro-Republican campaign strategy. Apart from Trump, Republicans have shown themselves to be primarily obstructionist and anti-Democrat, but they have failed to put together their own plan. Only Trump has inspired the voters with his “Make America Great Again” slogan. The anti-Biden, pro-Republican argument is not that strong and will produce only moderate gains. On the other hand, the Democrats will focus on “Saving democracy from the Trump/Republican insurrectionists.” This will be much more effective to activate the Democrat base. This slogan will be repeated in nearly every news broadcast.
Another factor in the election will be reapportionment. The typical gerrymandering will take place with Democrats gaining the largest benefit.
The Great Migration will have an effect also. The Great Migration is people leaving Democrat controlled cities and states and moving to Republican controlled states. This is also a move from cities to more rural areas. Many of these people will not reregister before the election. In most cases they will not vote. This will give a slight advantage to the Democrats. Florida will no longer be considered a swing state.
Because this population shift took place after the census of 2020, the Democrats will maintain a representative advantage which is not consistent with the current population. This disparity will remain until the next census in 2030.
The big question is, “What will the Republicans do with their newly acquired power?” The Republican populace is strongly in favor of the Trump policies. The Republican leadership has been anti-Trump. They went along with Trump to gain support of the voters to regain power. Now the internal debate will be how to prevent Trump from being reelected but retain his supporters as enthusiastic supporters of the Republican Party. Also, how to return to self-rewarding system of the past. This will divide the Party and make its governing ineffective. Trump will be able to exert a tremendous amount of power on the system even without being President. There will also be a vying for position of Republican Trump challengers. This will not show publicly until 2023.
Covid
Another, less powerful strain of Covid will arrive in the months preceding the election. The response will be the need for mail in ballots, once again leading to questions regarding the validity of the election results. Questionable voting results will not be a big news item with the major media partially because they are national media and only focus on national elections and a few “battle ground’ seats that could shift the balance of power. Most election fraud that has resulted in convictions are small local elections.
There will be a clear division between Democrat controlled cities and states and Republican controlled cities and States. In Democrat controlled cities and states, covid will be a major crisis demanding new waves of controls, masks, social distancing, shutdowns, testing and vaccinations. In Republican controlled cities and states, life will go on as normal with little concern given to the new variant.
There will be major political battles between the Executive branch and the Republican cities and states. The Biden administration will put in place sanctions against these Republican strongholds. They will be challenged in the courts and will fail to past Supreme Court scrutiny.
Actual accurate statistics of the new variant death toll will be unattainable or unverifiable due to poor and inconsistent reporting methods. The official results will not come out until well into 2023. The official report will show a significant number of covid or covid “related” deaths. The total number of deaths for the year will show no significant difference from the previous five years. The increase in deaths from suicide and drug overdoses will be much more than those from Covid.
Economy
There will be two significant economic issues during 2022.
Inflation
The effect of inflation depends on which products and services see the bulk of the inflation. This inflation cycle will be unique in its breadth. It will be across nearly all products, though housing will lead the pack. Certain areas of the country will be impacted much more than others. California will lead the country in inflation. All major cities will see significant inflation. Rural areas will see less.
Inflation will be driven by several factors:
- Cuts in fossil fuel production in the USA.
- Disruptions to supply chains caused mostly by stupid laws and executive orders coming out of Sacramento which effect shipping through the Port of Los Angeles and other California ports. This effects more than 50% of all shipments coming from the far east, creating shortages in products across the nation. Inadequate supply means rising prices.
- Housing shortages due to growing populations and influx of illegal aliens to major cities.
- Expansion of government and excessive government spending at all levels. Any time the government throws money at a problem, the cost of goods and services related to the problem skyrocket. When the Biden administration throws money at college education, the prices will go way up as they did when the government stepped in to “help” healthcare.
- Rising minimum wages in many States and some major cities.
Failing Small Businesses
Many small businesses closed due to the Covid shutdowns and regulations. Many more have held on due to Federal government assistance and bailouts. These bailouts will lessen during 2022. Most of the small businesses which have been hanging on will finally collapse. These will not all happen at once but will be equally spaced out throughout the year. These will go under reported.
Expansion of Government Assistance to Individuals
Every Federal government assistance program will expand by at least 20%. The biggest rise will be the number of people receiving SNAP (food stamps) and housing assistance.
A Nation of Renters
The biggest change in the economy in 2022 will be that we become a nation of renters. More than half of all Americans will become renters of houses, apartments, or condos. Home ownership will no longer be the American Dream.
Renting will not be limited to housing, all computer programs, communications, and electronic entertainment will be on a subscription basis. Anything that can be done over the internet will be subscription; most of it already is.
Throughout 2022 this trend will grow to items which are regularly delivered to your house on a monthly or weekly basis. Individual purchases will be replaced by automatic purchases of food, pet products, drugs, paper products and cleaning supplies.
A similar trend will happen with services. Some will be labeled subscriptions; others will be called insurance.
Media
Hot Topics
- Mid-term elections
- Investigations into the Trump “insurgents” and the steps being taken to “save democracy”.
- Racism in America. Mostly special reports, not actual news items.
- The looming crisis of Climate Change. Mostly special reports with environmental activists and “leading” climatologist. Once again, commentary not actual news.
- The new Covid strain and the battle between the White House and rouge Governors and Mayors.
- Measures being taken by the White House to curb inflation.
- Measures being taken by the White House to deal with the crisis of homelessness in our major cities. The answer being giving huge sums of money to the major cities (all Democrat controlled).
- Trump’s taxes.
- Controlling social media, “to save democracy”.
Under Reported Topics
- The supply chain crisis at our ports.
- The crisis at our southern border and the huge number of illegal immigrants converging upon our major cities and border towns.
- Russia’s takeover of the Ukraine.
- China’s takeover of Taiwan.
- The aftermath of the war in Afghanistan.
- The resurgence of North Korea.
- The quiet resurgence of Iran.
- The aftermath of the Syrian crisis. The continued devastating of Syria and the long-term refugee issue.
- Election fraud.
- China interference in the mid-term elections.
- Gerrymandering in reapportionment.
- Government coverups.
- The final collapse of most small businesses due to the long-term effects of the Covid shutdown and regulations.
Social and Alternative Media
Major attempts will be made to control content on the major social media platforms. New platforms will be crated but will be attacked through major media “news stories”, labeling the new platforms with derogatory labels, legal challenges, government investigation (legal harassment), buy out attempts, startup technical problems and financial problems, moles, and hackers for hire (domestic and international).
None of these new outlets will achieve significant numbers, primarily due to the fact that people will post on all the platforms they can, making the new platforms a smaller version of the more well-established platforms rather than replacing them.
California
California will continue to deteriorate quickly during 2022. Governor Nuisance will continue with his irrational dictator leadership. The legislature will continue to pass insane laws. The growth in government will place us on the brink of financial collapse. This will be everted by passing financial burden from the State government to the cities. Many cities will suffer financial ruin. The State government will be propped up by the Biden administration give aways to his most cooperative governors. Gavin Nuisance will be one of the biggest recipients. This will occur in the summer, before the final push for the mid-term elections.